Monday, November 23, 2015

Will a rise in minimum wage lead to massive inflation or job loss?

When I talk to my friends about the need to increase the minimum wage, the main arguments I hear (other than "I don't want to talk about politics") is that raising the minimum wage to $15/hr will lead to massive inflation, and that a higher minimum wage will lead to less jobs available. These are common misconceptions, and at the surface level they make sense, but deeper analysis shows they aren't true.

The basic argument for a higher minimum wage causing inflation is that when minimum wages rise, other wages rise as well. Companies lose so much in paying their employees that they have to raise prices and fire employees to remain profitable, and as the prices of gas and materials go up, the prices of goods and services using those go up, with everything balancing out in the end.

There are a few flaws with this argument, however. Firstly, while anyone making less than the new minimum gets their wages raised, wages don't usually go up very quickly for those making more than the new minimum already. In particular, wages of CEO's, shareholders, and other executives don't go up immediately in response to minimum wage laws. So the immediate effect on the cost of labor goes mostly to businesses that rely on documented low-wage workers, such as restaurants and retail. The restaurants may raise their prices a bit and the retailers may try to do the same work with less people, but the effect isn't huge. The oil industry tends to have higher paid workers, and the agricultural industry tends to use undocumented workers, so the cost of food doesn't rise quickly as a result.

With more people able to afford goods and services, the economy grows. If current businesses are unwilling or unable to keep up with demand, new businesses come in. This is why unemployment doesn't see a huge uptick after minimum wage increases. Because all the rhetoric given about large corporations being "job-creators" is backwards. Businesses respond to demand, one way or another. Consumers are the real job-creators, because they are the ones actually paying for the result of the labor being done. Also, as people build up wealth, they are more likely to start their own businesses, and to negotiate for better wages. This does then lead to inflation, but it is inflation due to growth, which is good in the short term.

However, this is only a temporary fix, since growth can't continue forever. What we really need is a guaranteed basic income and a shortened work week so that we can have a society that moves toward opportunity equality while shrinking to or maintaining a sustainable economy. But that's a topic for another post.

Friday, November 20, 2015


I am going to (or will have, by the time you read this) add a couple links to the sidebar. One of these will be (or is) to a modified version of 2048 that I put together a while ago, called 3072. Try it out, and if you like it, share it and/or comment.


I absolutely love when I'm reading an article, or comic, or whatever, and the first comment is just some guy exclaiming that he is the first commenter. Sometimes I dream about the rewards for being the first to comment. These guys get all the money, cars, fame, and attention from women that they want. The envy burns within me.

Until now. Now that I have my own blog, I am always the first to comment. Not in the comments section, though. Even better, I get to say what's on my mind before people can comment on it at all. Their comments are just replies to what I say. That means I deserve at least twice what the typical first commenter gets. So come on, Blogger, give me the cash, cars, and fame I deserve for saying: